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Joint effects of temperature and humidity with PM2.5 on COPD

Abstract

Background

Particulate matter less than 2.5 microns in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5) is a significant air pollutant known to adversely affect respiratory health and increase the incidence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Furthermore, climate change exacerbates these impacts, as extreme temperatures and relative humidity (RH) levels can intensify the effects of PM2.5. This study aims to examine the joint effects of PM2.5, temperature, and RH on the risk of COPD.

Methods

A case鈥揷ontrol study was conducted among 1,828 participants from 2017 to 2022 (995 COPD patients and 833 controls). The radial basis function interpolation was utilized to estimate participants' individual mean and differences in PM2.5, temperature, and RH in 1-day, 7-day, and 1-month periods. Logistic regression models examined the associations of environmental exposures with the risk of COPD adjusting for confounders. Joint effects of PM2.5 by quartiles of temperature and RH were also examined.

Results

We observed that a 1听碌g/m3 increase in PM2.5 7-day and 1-month mean was associated with a 1.05-fold and 1.06-fold increase in OR of COPD (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). For temperature and RH, we observed U-shaped effects on OR for COPD with optimal temperatures identified as 21.2听掳C, 23.8听掳C, and 23.8听掳C for 1-day, 7-day, and 1-month mean temperature, respectively, and optimal RH levels identified as 73.8%, 76.7%, and 75.4% for 1-day, 7-day, and 1-month mean RH, respectively (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). The joint effect models show that high temperatures (>鈥23.5听掳C) and both extremely low (69.3%) and high (80.9%) RH levels generally exacerbate the effects of PM2.5 on OR for COPD, especially over longer exposure durations.

Conclusion

The joint effects of PM2.5, temperature, and RH on the risk of COPD underscore the importance of air pollution control and comprehensive research to mitigate COPD risk in the context of climate change.

Peer Review reports

Background

Particulate matter less than 2.5 microns in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5) is a key air pollutant known to significantly affect respiratory health and increase the incidence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) [1]. In 2017, the Global Burden of Disease estimated that PM2.5 accounted for 19.3% of all disability-adjusted life years for COPD [2]. On the other hand, temperature and relative humidity (RH), as environmental factors, may influence the extent of the impact of PM2.5 [3]. The joint effects of these elements under changing climatic conditions could potentially alter the risk of COPD [4].

Previous studies have demonstrated the significant impact of PM2.5 on the risk of COPD [5]. There is evidence that elevated PM2.5 levels were associated with increased COPD incidence rates [6]. For example, in a general population, the observed increase in the prevalence rates of COPD for each standard deviation increment in PM2.5 ranged between 1.10 and 1.25 times [6]. A previous systematic review found that a 10听碌g/m3 daily increase in PM2.5 concentration was associated with a 1.60% (95% CI: 0.40鈥2.90%) increase in the risk of COPD hospitalization [7], while another review found that 1听碌g/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with 1.03 (95%CI: 1.00鈥1.06) times higher risk of COPD [8]. Furthermore, climate change exacerbates these impacts, as extreme temperatures and altered RH levels can intensify air pollution effects [9]. Elevated temperatures often lead to increased formation of ground-level ozone, which, together with high PM2.5 levels, can worsen respiratory conditions [10]. For RH, a large-scale evidence from Korea鈥檚 national health surveys shows that RH exerts nuanced impacts on lung function, negatively associated with a forced expiratory volume in 1听s (FEV鈧)/forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio [11]. For instance, in short-term exposures (鈮も7听days), each 1% increase in RH was associated with a 尾 of 鈭0.015 (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05) at lag鈥0听day and 鈭0.016 (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05) at lag鈥1听day for FEV鈧/FVC [11]. Complementary mechanistic insights suggest that both very low and very high humidity can disrupt airway epithelial integrity, mucociliary clearance, and immune defenses, thus influencing infection rates and allergic symptoms [12]. These findings underscore the need to incorporate RH into epidemiologic models of COPD risk.

PM2.5 can exacerbate respiratory conditions by penetrating deep into lung tissues, causing oxidative stress and inflammation that impair pulmonary function [1]. Additionally, meteorological factors like temperature and relative humidity may modulate the body's response to these particles [13]. For instance, higher temperatures can enhance the chemical reactions that form secondary organic aerosols, increasing the toxicity of particulate matter [14]. On the other hand, RH influences the hygroscopic growth of PM, affecting its deposition in the respiratory tract and its ability to carry soluble toxic components into the lungs [15], while independently impacting lung health by influencing airway responsiveness and facilitating the survival and transmission of respiratory pathogens, which may relate to COPD [16]. These interactions suggest a complex interplay where PM2.5 and meteorological factors together can exacerbate the inflammatory responses and oxidative stress, leading to respiratory diseases such as COPD.

Existing studies have focused on the individual effects of PM2.5, temperature, and RH on the risk of COPD diagnosis [17,18,19]. However, there is a critical need to understand how these factors jointly affect the risk of COPD diagnosis. This case鈥揷ontrol study examines the joint effects of PM2.5, temperature, and RH on the risk of COPD diagnosis, as measured by the odds ratio (OR), thus offering vital insights into the complex environmental determinants of COPD.

Methods

Study population

A case鈥揷ontrol study included 1,828 participants, including 995 COPD patients and 833 controls. COPD patients (case group) were consecutively recruited at three hospitals in Taipei from January 2017 to December 2022. On the other hand, controls were selected from the Tucheng Health Care Cohort (THCC) in New Taipei City, gathered from a health project running from October 2018 to April 2021. These patients were newly diagnosed with COPD at the time of the lung function test conducted during the study. Prior to this, they had not received a COPD diagnosis. To be defined as a COPD patient for this study, individuals had to meet the diagnostic criteria based on a FEV1/ FVC ratio (on pre-bronchodilator spirometry) below 70% [20], between the ages of 40 and 90, and they could not have had any exacerbations in the past three months or been diagnosed with any excluded conditions, such as cancer, bronchiectasis, asthma, or other unrelated progressive inflammatory diseases. Controls were selected from the Tucheng Health Care Cohort (THCC) in New Taipei City, derived from a health project operational from October 2018 to April 2021. Controls met similar age criteria and were excluded if they had any respiratory conditions or the aforementioned excluded conditions to ensure comparability with cases. Both groups underwent pre-bronchodilation lung function tests performed by trained healthcare technicians and nurses using the Vitalograph Spirotac VTM, adhering to the standards of the American Thoracic Society/European Respiratory Society [21]. Additionally, covariates concerning age, sex, medical history, body mass index (BMI), smoking status, and respiratory symptoms were consistently collected by practical physicians before conducting the lung function test. The Taipei Medical University-Joint Institution Review Board (TMU-JIRB no. N202302060) approved the study protocol.

Individual-level exposure to ambient RH, temperature, and PM2.5

The radial basis function (RBF) interpolation was chosen to estimate ambient exposure to PM2.5, RH, and temperature for each participant based on their addresses because it produces smoother and more accurate interpolations compared to other methods, such as inverse distance weighting [22,23,24,25]. The linear kernel function was specifically used to optimize spatial estimates in the study area. Hourly data for RH and temperature were acquired from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau, and hourly PM2.5 concentrations were sourced from air monitoring stations operated by Taiwan's Environmental Protection Administration. After initial organization and cleaning, these hourly PM2.5 data were spatially estimated for each participant and then aggregated into daily mean to reflect daily exposure levels accurately. To assess the impact of exposure over time, we calculated both the mean and difference in values of PM2.5, temperature, and RH across 1-day, 7-day, and 30-day intervals. The mean exposure was calculated using data from 1-day, 7-days, and 1-month prior to the lung function test, up to and including the day of the event.

The mean value of t day was calculated from the (t-1) day before the case to the case day. This can be mathematically represented as:

$$\overline{x }=\frac{{\sum }_{i=(1-t)}^{0}{x}_{i}}{t}$$

Where, 'x' is the time period, 'xi' represents for environmental exposure factors, and 't' is number days in the period. The difference value was calculated by taking the difference between the current and the previous mean values for the same period length.

$$\overline{\Delta x }=\frac{{\sum }_{i=(1-t)}^{0}{x}_{i}}{t}-\frac{{\sum }_{i=(1-2t)}^{-t}{x}_{i}}{t}$$

Detailed methodologies for calculating the mean and differences in environmental variables have been published previously [26].

Data analysis

The Shapiro鈥揥ilk test was used to assess the normal distribution of the FEV1/FVC. To mitigate the impact of outliers, extreme values beyond the 99th percentile were adjusted using the Winsorization method [27]. The association of PM2.5, temperature, and RH with the OR for COPD among cases (COPD patients) and controls (non-COPD individuals) was investigated using logistic regression. For sensitivity analysis, a linear regression was utilized to assess the associations of PM2.5, temperature, and RH with lung function measured by FEV1/FVC, FEV1, and FVC. We also explored the non-linearity in these associations and developed dose鈥搑esponse curves to illustrate the variations in OR for COPD across different levels of PM2.5, temperature, and RH. These curves were analyzed using generalized additive models (GAMLSS) with penalized splines (ps) and four degrees of freedom [28]. To further examine potential joint effects, temperature, and RH were divided into quartiles and joined into the PM2.5 analysis using the GAMLSS model to assess their joint effects on COPD risk [29]. The sensitivity analysis was also conducted for FEV1, FVC, and FEV1/FVC. All statistical models were adjusted for age, sex, smoking habits, and BMI. All analyses were conducted using R software version 4.2.2, with a statistical significance level set at p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05.

Results

Characteristics of study subjects

Table 1 shows the clinical characteristics of 1,828 participants, including 995 with COPD and 833 controls. The COPD group had a significantly higher proportion of males (83.7%) and current smokers (35.2%) compared to the control group, which had 22.6% males and 6.8% current smokers (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). The average age was higher in COPD patients (70.5鈥壜扁10.7听years) than in controls (63.0鈥壜扁8.2听years). Additionally, COPD patients had a lower BMI (23.5鈥壜扁4.0听kg/m2) compared to the control group (24.6鈥壜扁3.6听kg/m2) (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). Lung function, as measured by FEV1-pred, was lower in the COPD group, averaging 63.7鈥壜扁21.6%, compared to 88.0鈥壜扁15.9% in the controls, with FEV1/FVC at 58.5鈥壜扁12.0% for the COPD group and 83.2鈥壜扁6.2% for controls (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05).

Table听1 Basic characteristics of study subjects (N鈥=鈥1828)

Temperature, RH, and PM2.5 exposure

Table 1 presents the environmental exposures, including PM2.5, temperature, and RH, between the COPD and control groups over various periods (1-day, 7-day, and 1-month). We observed that PM2.5 levels were significantly higher in the control group for both the 7-day and 1-month means (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). There were no significant differences in temperature between the groups during these periods. However, we found that RH was consistently higher in the COPD group across all measured periods, with the most notable difference observed in the 1-day mean RH (75.7鈥壜扁7.8% for COPD vs. 74.5鈥壜扁8.9% for controls; p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). Table S1 indicates negative correlations between PM2.5, temperature, and RH, except for a positive correlation between PM2.5 and temperature.

Associations of PM2.5, temperature, and RH with COPD risk

Figure听1 illustrates the associations of mean and differences in temperature, RH, and PM2.5 over 1-day, 7-day, and 1-month periods with the OR for COPD and lung function. For COPD risk, we observed that a 1听碌g/m3 increase in the 7-day mean PM2.5 level was associated with a 1.05-fold increase in the OR for COPD (95% CI: 1.03鈥1.08; p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). A 1听碌g/m3 increase in the 1-month mean PM2.5 level was associated with a 1.06-fold increase in the OR for COPD (95% CI: 1.03鈥1.10; p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). Regarding lung function, we found that a 1听碌g/m3 increase in the 7-day mean PM2.5 level was associated with a 0.18% decrease in FEV鈧-predicted and a 0.17% decrease in the FEV1/FVC ratio (95% CI: 0.06鈥0.28; p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). A 1听碌g/m3 increase in the 1-month mean PM2.5 level was associated with a 0.22% decrease in the FEV1/FVC ratio (95% CI: 0.09鈥0.35; p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). Additionally, a 1听碌g/m3 increase in the 7-day difference in PM2.5 levels was associated with a 1.03-fold increase in the OR for COPD (95% CI: 1.00鈥1.05; p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05), a 0.22% decrease in FEV1-predicted, and a 0.17% decrease in the FEV1/FVC ratio (95% CI: 0.04鈥0.41; p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05).

Fig.听1
figure 1

Associations of the daily mean and difference in ambient temperature, relative humidity (RH), and particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of鈥&濒迟;鈥2.5听渭m (PM2.5) for 1-day, 7-day, and 1-month mean and difference with the odds ratio (OR) for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), forced expiratory volume in 1听s (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC) and FEV1/FVC. Data are presented as the OR for COPD and FEV1/FVC estimates with a 95% confidence interval (CI). Covariates adjusted for in the models were age, sex, smoking, and body mass index (BMI). Red asterisk (*) indicates statistical significance at p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05

Non-linear effects of PM2.5, temperature, and RH on COPD risk

Figures听2, 3 and 4 illustrate the non-linear associations between PM2.5, temperature, and RH exposures with the OR for COPD. We observed that there were significant non-linear effects of the 1-day, 7-day, and 1-month mean PM2.5 levels on the OR for COPD, as well as for the 1-day and 7-day differences in PM2.5 (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). For temperature, we observed U-shaped effects of the 1-day, 7-day, and 1-month mean temperatures on the OR for COPD, with optimal temperatures identified as 21.2听掳C for the 1-day mean, 23.8听掳C for both the 7-day and 1-month means. We also found non-linear associations for the 1-day and 7-day differences in temperature, highlighting optimal differences of 鈭0.9听掳C and 鈭1.7听掳C, respectively (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). For RH, we observed U-shaped effects of the 1-day, 7-day, and 1-month mean RH on the OR for COPD, with optimal RH levels identified as 73.8% for the 1-day mean, 76.7% for the 7-day mean, and 75.4% for the 1-month mean. We observed a non-linear association for the 1-month difference in RH, highlighting an optimal difference of 鈭1.5% (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). Figures S1-S3 show that these non-linear effects were more pronounced among males than females. For sensitivity analysis, Figures S4鈥揝12 illustrate the non-linear associations between PM2.5, temperature, and RH with FEV1/FVC, FEV1, and FVC. We observed that PM2.5 exposure was associated with declines in FEV鈧/FVC and FEV鈧, temperature exposure was associated with variations in FEV鈧/FVC, and RH was associated with FEV鈧/FVC (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05).

Fig.听2
figure 2

Exposure鈥搑esponse relationship between the particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of鈥&濒迟;鈥2.5听渭m (PM2.5) and the odds ratio (OR) for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The solid line represents the OR for COPD, given the daily mean and difference in PM2.5 exposure. The shaded area shows the 95% CI, reflecting the precision of the OR estimate. Covariates adjusted for in the models were age, sex, smoking, and body mass index (BMI). The numbers in blue denote the OR at specific PM2.5 levels, with the corresponding red numbers indicating the PM2.5 concentration. Asterisks (*) mark statistically significant associations where p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05. The dashed green line across the OR of 1.0 serves as a reference

Fig.听3
figure 3

Exposure鈥搑esponse relationship between the temperature and the risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The solid line represents the odds ratio (OR) for COPD, given the daily mean and difference in temperature exposure. The shaded area shows the 95% CI, reflecting the precision of the OR estimate. Covariates adjusted for in the models were age, sex, smoking, and body mass index (BMI). The numbers in blue denote the OR at specific temperature levels, with the corresponding red numbers indicating the temperature concentration. Asterisks (*) mark statistically significant associations where p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05. The dashed green line across the OR of 1.0 serves as a reference

Fig.听4
figure 4

Exposure鈥搑esponse relationship between the relative humidity (RH) and the risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The solid line represents the odds ratio (OR) for COPD, given the daily mean and difference in RH exposure. The shaded area shows the 95% CI, reflecting the precision of the OR estimate. Covariates adjusted for in the models were age, sex, smoking, and body mass index (BMI). The numbers in blue denote the OR at specific temperature levels, with the corresponding red numbers indicating the temperature concentration. Asterisks (*) mark statistically significant associations where p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05. The dashed green line across the OR of 1.0 serves as a reference

Joint effects of PM2.5 and temperature on the risk of COPD

Figure听5 demonstrates the joint effects of PM2.5 and temperature quartiles on the OR for COPD. We observed significant joint effects in certain quartiles, particularly in Q3 (23.5鈥28.7听掳C) and Q4 (鈮モ28.7听掳C). These findings indicate complex joint effects between PM2.5 exposure and temperature on the OR for COPD (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). The curves highlight that extremely high temperatures generally exacerbated the effects of PM2.5 on OR for COPD, especially over longer exposure durations. Figures S13 and S14 show that these joint effects were more pronounced among males than females. For sensitivity analysis, Figures S15鈥揝17 show the joint effects of PM2.5 and temperature quartiles on lung function, with significant joint effects in Q3 (23.5鈥28.7听掳C) and Q4 (鈮モ28.7听掳C).

Fig.听5
figure 5

Associations of odds ratio (OR) for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) with particulate matter of an aerodynamic diameter of鈥&濒迟;鈥2.5听渭m (PM2.5) were analyzed, considering the joint effect by quartiles of temperature. Two-factor models were fitted for the OR for COPD, with four degrees of freedom restricted, and adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, and smoking status. The temperature was divided into quartiles: first quartile (Q1), second quartile (Q2), third quartile (Q3), and fourth quartile (Q4), and joined into the PM2.5 analysis using the GAMLSS model to assess their joint effects on COPD risk. Asterisks (*) mark statistically significant associations where p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05

Joint effects of RH and PM2.5 on the risk of COPD

Figure听6 illustrates the joint effects of PM2.5 and RH quartiles on the OR for COPD. We observed significant joint effects in some quartiles, particularly in Q1 (鈮も69.3%) and Q4 (鈮モ80.9%). These results indicate complex joint effects between PM2.5 exposure and RH on the OR for COPD (p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05). The curves suggest that extreme RH levels exacerbated the impact of PM2.5 on OR for COPD, especially over longer exposure durations. Figures S18 and S19 show significant interactions in Q1 (鈮も69.3%) and Q4 (鈮モ80.9%) for both males and females. Figures S20鈥揝22 illustrate the sensitivity analysis of the joint effects of PM2.5 and RH quartiles on lung function, showing that extreme RH levels exacerbated the impact of PM2.5 on lung function.

Fig.听6
figure 6

Associations of odds ratio (OR) of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)with particulate matter of an aerodynamic diameter of鈥&濒迟;鈥2.5听渭m (PM2.5) were analyzed, considering the joint effect by quartiles of relative humidity (RH). Two-factor models were fitted for the OR for COPD, with four degrees of freedom restricted, and adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, and smoking status. The RH was divided into quartiles: first quartile (Q1), second quartile (Q2), third quartile (Q3), and fourth quartile (Q4), and joined into the PM2.5 analysis using the GAMLSS model to assess their joint effects on COPD risk. Asterisks (*) mark statistically significant associations where p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.0

Discussion

In the context of a rapidly changing climate and increasing air pollution, our study evaluates the joint effects of environmental factors on the risk for COPD. While COPD is a chronic disease typically developing over prolonged exposure to factors like smoking and long-term air pollution, our study utilizes short-term exposure data to identify significant associations between PM鈧.鈧, temperature, RH, and COPD risk. The novelty of our study lies in identifying that higher temperatures and both low and high humidity, in conjunction with PM2.5, decrease lung function and increase the OR for COPD. These associations may reflect acute effects on lung function declines, underscoring the importance of considering environmental factors in COPD management even over shorter time frames. Our findings highlight PM2.5's critical role in respiratory health and the need for a comprehensive strategy to address environmental factors influencing COPD risk.

Although the control group had higher mean PM2.5 levels due to individual exposure variability, logistic regression analysis demonstrated that increased PM鈧.鈧 exposure wass associated with higher risk of COPD. The linear association of PM2.5 with COPD has been shown in previous studies [30]. A study conducted in Thailand revealed that each 1% rise in PM2.5 concentrations corresponded to a 0.25% increase in newly diagnosed cases of COPD [19]. A previous investigation involving 96,779 individuals revealed that for every increase of 10听渭g/m3 in PM2.5 levels at the residence of a participant, there was an elevated risk for COPD, with an OR of 1.55 [29]. The mechanism underlying this positive association may involve PM2.5 exposure leading to the generation of reactive oxygen species and inflammation in the respiratory system, which in turn contributes to the development of COPD [31, 32].

Next, we showed the U-shaped associations of temperature and RH with the increasing risk of COPD and decreased lung function. This study shows that both low and high temperatures are linked to COPD risk, with lower temperatures having a notably stronger effect. Prior research indicates a potential threshold (18听掳C) below which lower temperatures could negatively affect respiratory diseases [33]. Cold exposure can cause unique respiratory reactions like runny nose, congestion, damage to the airway lining resulting in structural and functional changes, and bronchoconstriction due to cooling of facial skin and upper airways [34]. Additionally, some studies have noted an increase in hospital admissions due to COPD on days marked by very high temperatures [35]. Research conducted in New York City revealed a 7.6% rise in COPD hospital admissions for each 1听掳C rise in temperature above a critical threshold of 29听掳C [36]. Another study encompassing 12.5 million older adults across 213 urban counties in the U.S. found a 4.7% higher risk of COPD-related hospital admissions with each 10-degree Fahrenheit rise in ambient temperature [35]. The detrimental impact of extreme temperatures likely stems from their role in heightening the risk of respiratory infections and impairing lung function [37,38,39]. RH was found to have a U-shaped association with lung function declines and the risk for COPD, especially low RH. In line with our results, the study in Hong Kong showed a hockey-stick pattern with the lowest point of RH at 82% was associated with increased cases of COPD [40]. Low humidity can lead to bronchoconstriction and dry out the mucosal lining of the airway, heightening the risk of infections [41]. Conversely, extreme RH was also associated with an increased risk for COPD, as extreme humidity levels can foster environments conducive to the growth of dust mites and bacteria, potentially aggravating COPD symptoms [42]. Meanwhile, a previous review indicates that when RH deviates too far from the鈥墌鈥40鈥60% range, it can compromise airway epithelial integrity, potentially doubling viral infectivity at鈥&濒迟;鈥40% RH or enabling fungal overgrowth at鈥>鈥60% RH, which may increase the risk of respiratory diseases such as COPD [12]. Together, extremely high and low temperatures and RH were associated with a higher risk for COPD.

Finally, we observed that higher temperatures and both low and high RH, in joint effects with PM2.5, increase the risk for COPD. First, the joint effects of high temperatures and PM2.5 lead to decreased lung function and, subsequently, a higher risk for COPD. Previous research showed that high temperatures and PM2.5 exposure synergistically worsen lung function, potentially leading to COPD [43], especially in older adults [44]. This joint effect exacerbates respiratory inflammation and impairs lung cleansing, hindering the body's ability to remove harmful particles [45]. Second, low humidity levels can cause the airways to dry and become irritated, making them more susceptible to damage from inhaled pollutants like PM2.5 [12]. Dry air can also impair the mucociliary clearance process, which increases vulnerability to infections and inflammation, contributing to COPD risk [46]. Third, high humidity amplifies air pollution's effects, like PM2.5, on lung function, potentially causing COPD. A study found a 5% rise in RH 4听h before examination linked to a 0.3% FVC decrease (95% CI:0.1鈥0.5, p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05) and a 0.2% FEV1 decrease (95% CI:0.0鈥0.4, p鈥&濒迟;鈥0.05) in populations exposed to high levels of black carbon [44]. It can be explained that when extreme RH is joined with PM2.5, which itself can carry toxic substances and pathogens, the risk of respiratory infections and inflammation increases, potentially decreasing lung function and leading to COPD [47]. Together, the joint effects of high temperature and both low and high RH with PM2.5 decrease lung function and increase the risk for COPD.

Our study, investigating the joint effects of temperature and humidity on associations of PM2.5 and COPD, faces limitations such as bias from predominantly male smokers, excluding factors like indoor air pollution and job-related exposures, and using hospital data that might not be widely applicable due to selection bias. Although this study utilizes extensive hospital and cohort data, its non-randomized design, uneven numbers of cases and controls, and lack of individual matching by age and sex may limit the generalizability of findings and introduce residual confounding despite statistical adjustments. Additionally, because other pollutants (e.g., PM10, NO2, O3) were not fully controlled in the final models, ascertaining the independent effect of PM2.5 remains challenging. Future research should account for other pollutants such as PM10, NO2, O3, indoor air quality, workplace exposures, and long-term exposure assessments over periods of 1听year or more to fully capture the chronic aspects of climate change and PM2.5 exposure to COPD risk. Future prospective cohort studies with extended follow-up should incorporate biological markers of airway inflammation and oxidative stress and utilize Distributed Lag Nonlinear Models (DLNM) to establish causal relationships and accurately assess the delayed and cumulative effects of long-term exposures to air pollution, temperature, and humidity on COPD development.

Conclusions

Our findings highlight an association between increased levels of PM2.5 in conjunction with high temperature and both low and high RH in increasing COPD risk. By aligning with WHO guidelines, it is recommended that COPD patients regularly exposed to PM2.5, extreme temperatures, and humidity monitor environmental conditions and adopt protective strategies. These strategies include limiting outdoor activities during periods of high pollution or extreme weather, using air purifiers and masks, and maintaining optimal indoor temperature and humidity levels to mitigate associated risks. Together, these approaches can effectively address the growing challenge of COPD in the context of global climate change and air pollution.

Data availability

Data will be made available on request.

Abbreviations

BMI:

Body mass index

COPD:

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

CI:

Confidence interval

FEV1 :

Forced expiratory volume in 1听s

FVC:

Forced vital capacity

OR:

Odds ratio

PM2.5 :

Particulate matter less than 2.5 microns in aerodynamic diameter

RH:

Relative humidity

TMU-JIRB:

Taipei Medical University-Joint Institution Review Board

THCC:

Tucheng Health Care Cohort

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Acknowledgements

The authors wholeheartedly thank all staff in the Division of Pulmonary Medicine at Shuang Ho Hospital, Wan Fang Hospital, and Taipei Medical University Hospital for their technical assistance, as well as the Featured Research Program "Establishment of Tucheng Health Care Cohort" (grant no. 107FRP-02; 108FRP-01; 109FRP-01; 110FRP-01; 111FRP-01) from Shuang Ho Hospital, Taipei Medical University. During the preparation of this work, the authors used ChatGPT, a language model developed by OpenAI in San Francisco, California, USA, in order to assist the proofreading process. After using this tool, the authors reviewed and edited the content as needed and took full responsibility for the content of the publication

Funding

This study was funded by the National Science and Technology Council of Taiwan (112鈥2628-B-038鈥010-MY3) and the Higher Education Sprout Project by the Ministry of Education (MOE) in Taiwan (DP2-TMU-113-T-02).

National Science and Technology Council,112-2628-B-038-010-MY3,112-2628-B-038-010-MY3,Ministry of Education,DP2-TMU-113-T-02

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Contributions

HMT and HCC contributed to the completion of the interpretation of the data and the manuscript. FJT, YHW, and HCC contributed substantially to the concept, design, interpretation of the data, and completion of the study and manuscript. YCL contributed to environmental data collection. KYL, JHC, CLC, CHT, CLS, TTC, KYC, SCH, FMY, and SMW contributed to clinical data collection. KFC, KFH, and KJC contributed to the critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content. All authors have read and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Hsiao-Chi Chuang.

Ethics declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate

The study was undertaken in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. Informed consent was obtained from all study participants before the research. This study adheres to the ethical standards, with all necessary approvals obtained from the Taipei Medical University-Joint Institution Review Board (TMU-JIRB no. N202302060).

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Not applicable.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Tran, H.M., Tsai, FJ., Wang, YH. et al. Joint effects of temperature and humidity with PM2.5 on COPD. 成人头条 25, 424 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-21564-3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-21564-3

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